Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 341.921797 390.068761 444.384581 510.557925 589.482983 681.203588 796.739047
2024-12-22 266.103423 326.315946 400.786155 501.027884 634.554802 809.405838 1061.001729
2024-12-29 228.115856 293.163052 378.645370 501.808180 679.185940 932.743037 1336.894628
2025-01-05 198.018085 263.544630 353.693121 490.589190 700.337032 1022.430215 1582.311925
2025-01-12 177.830694 243.807146 338.206190 488.288203 731.293837 1129.727827 1881.412534
2025-01-19 156.203347 219.002304 311.573925 464.057182 721.902105 1167.511768 2067.056357
2025-01-26 149.253436 214.735548 314.668442 486.306973 792.077639 1355.773292 2595.260378
2025-02-02 144.732875 213.436658 321.847355 515.824677 879.835802 1596.659480 3321.708099
2025-02-09 135.377082 203.438133 313.627992 517.179627 915.234144 1742.131573 3887.959487
2025-02-16 124.697217 190.237234 298.561250 503.928726 919.427143 1822.182726 4322.237551
2025-02-23 115.837779 179.237490 286.083310 493.710320 927.755946 1913.122084 4825.629684
2025-03-02 111.462736 175.366846 285.575576 506.161440 985.975500 2135.909101 5827.786921
2025-03-09 105.517338 168.491858 279.360117 507.271793 1021.384422 2317.462251 6823.003963
2025-03-16 98.570726 159.332835 268.147060 496.881453 1028.961686 2429.976835 7655.054014
2025-03-23 93.755510 153.562578 262.669146 497.689990 1063.343664 2627.586622 8956.589668
2025-03-30 87.985838 145.613336 252.290406 486.584010 1066.145206 2734.312101 9961.619014
2025-04-06 83.742773 140.156412 246.259211 484.306462 1091.293789 2918.881189 11488.251948
2025-04-13 77.533365 130.616191 231.386379 460.320060 1054.678067 2893.363443 11944.715332
2025-04-20 76.565998 130.892823 236.203265 482.345346 1148.306095 3342.610926 15483.024499
2025-04-27 76.250136 132.375443 243.598961 511.561309 1269.717377 3948.889744 20926.843020
2025-05-04 73.388689 128.675483 239.809949 512.902305 1308.750111 4257.141371 24814.357402
2025-05-11 69.502690 122.700892 230.701548 499.787488 1300.489717 4368.919671 27326.111823
2025-05-18 66.142491 117.585349 223.081344 489.673425 1300.211030 4518.028633 30483.932760